There’s a good chance that you’ll run into some thunderstorms later this afternoon. And some of them could be quite strong. Maybe even severe with winds up to 60-65 mph. The Storm Prediction Center continues their level 1 out of 5 (marginal threat). We’ll see whether or not there’s an upgrade at some point today. The good news with a level 1 is the severe threat is isolated or spotty. However, an upgrade to level 2, which is certainly not out of the question, becomes a little more widespread with the possibility of storm damage.
Timeframe: From 3pm to 9pm (west to east)
Risks:
General Thunderstorm Threat: Moderate
Damaging Wind Threat: Low
Large Hail Threat: Very Low
Tornadoes: Very Low
Lightning: Moderate
Here’s the latest update from the Storm Prediction Center
Here’s how the RRFS (Rapid Refresh Forecast System) sees it playing out.
Here’s how the HRRR (High-resolution Rapid Refresh) sees it playing out.
Both are very bullish on the idea of scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and a round of severe weather. Both models would suggest an upgrade to level 2 (scattered). We’ll see whether or not the SPC pulls the trigger.
